It ain't over until it's over, let's not get to brash here, but..

In August, after announcing Sarah Palin was his vice-president pick I said:

I think John McCain just lost whatever chance he had of becoming President.

On one hand, McCain has robbed the Republicans of the one hammer they had, Obama was inexperienced. Here we have someone who had been mayor of a town smaller than the subdivision I live in and then has been governor for two years of a state with a smaller population than the county I live in. At a similar point in life when Obama was in Harvard Law School, Palin was entering beauty pageants.

On the other hand, the point that the Democrats have been making for the last week is that McCain has exhibited poor judgement. He was wrong about Iraq, he is wrong about Afghanistan, he is wrong about the economy and on and on. And he just made their point. If this is an example of the kinds of decisions he'll make once in office, we have been warned.

The DailyKos has a nice summary of how McCain is losing support among conservatives who think Palin was an abysmal choice. They also list the newspaper endorsements for Obama that mention Palin as part of the decision to not endorse McCain.

Colin Powell mentions the Palin decision as part of his reasoning in endorsing Obama.

The national Republican/Atwater/Rove machine have a 30 year history of showing they are much better at getting people elected then they are at governing. So, they could still pull this thing off with their buckets o' mud. But it looks bad for them right now.